market update - alt plays

when the last update was published

iran 'talks had failed' and Trump went back to 'will blow up the civilization' mode if the deal is not signed.

and BTC was looking like it was gonna roll over.

mentioned this

most of the timeline is eager to short simply because the "4-year cycle" dictates it.

price hasn't rolled over yet.

in fact, things are aligning for a climax move before a meaningful local resistance top kicks in.

btc 80-85k should do it.

alts, dinos, and memes are looking primed to rip.

so far, that thesis remains fully intact.

those dino alts and meme pumps can be quite powerful but remember

back in 2023/2024, i focused heavily on memes because the trend had massive legs.

that phase has passed.

when the meme category pumps collectively now, it is usually a signal that we are approaching exhaustion just like earlier cycles.

only if you get slightest hint at macro policy change then be prepared to change your views

this entire structural view changes in an instant if we get any hint of money printing policy. if the liquidity taps open, the rally becomes structural.

right now, both MTF and HTF are signaling GREEN.

the highest probability setups always come when these two timeframes are perfectly aligned.

i will go through the btc and eth charts below.

beyond the majors, here are the alts memes looking the most primed.

you can find the exact levels and exits on the system

XLM, PENGU, PEPE: the high beta plays.

NEAR, XMR, ZEC: showing decent PA. these will get interesting if we confirm a new structural uptrend.

see you in the next one.