market update - BTC GOLD SILVER
tuesday gave the market a flush.
narratives were blaming Japanese bonds or the Trump/Greenland headlines. the "why" doesn't matter. the "when" does.
the system didn't wait for the news. it printed a SELL on sunday, well before tuesday’s liquidation event.
BTC: the pivot market structure is shifting again.
- HTF (High Time Frame): Has turned bullish. This is significant. it turned not just at a price bottom but also the a time bottom (kept you out of bleed/chop) since AUG 2025 to now.
- The Caveat: not screaming "New ATH" yet. This could simply be the right shoulder of a larger bearish structure.
- The Trade: There is always opportunity such period. It remains an active trader’s environment. best to follow, not predict too much.
current signal: LTF (Low Time Frame) printed a fresh BUY and is holding.
- aggressive: position on the LTF signal.
- conservative: wait for MTF (Medium Time Frame) confirmation to align with the HTF turn.
losing HTF again without a meaningful upmove will be the sign that this leg is over and downmove will likely be swift.
GOLD & SILVER metals never got the correction memo. while crypto flushed, gold and silver showed relative strength.
most trades have easy and the hard part. Gold to 4k or Silver to ath at 50 were sort of easy to 'guess' but where the system particularly shines is the current PA.
sentiment has been heated for weeks.
most traders sold early or lacked the confidence to re-enter post flushes.
the edge: the system ignored the "overbought" calls and kept us in the trade to capture this current leg.
see you in the next one.